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CBN Targets Single-Digit Inflation by Mid-2026

bySodiq Adeoyo
March 23, 2026
in Banking, Economy
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CBN Targets Single-Digit Inflation by Mid-2026
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The Central Bank of Nigeria (CBN) has reaffirmed its commitment to a robust partnership with the academic and research community as the nation transitions toward a full Inflation Targeting (IT) monetary policy regime. During a strategic session with the Nigerian Economic Society (NES) in Abuja on Monday, March 23, 2026, the Deputy Governor for Economic Policy, Dr. Muhammad Abdullahi, described the dialogue as a vital component of Nigeria’s broader economic reform program.

The structural and operational consequence of this shift marks a departure from discretionary interventions toward a transparent, rules-based system. Abdullahi emphasized that inflation targeting will serve as the economy’s primary “nominal anchor,” designed to guide market expectations and dampen the impact of supply-side shocks. By prioritizing long-term price stability, the CBN aims to lower risk premia and foster an environment conducive to long-term investment, despite global headwinds such as geopolitical tensions and volatile energy prices.

Analytically, the impact on “Monetary Orthodoxy and Inflation Control” is already visible in the data. The Deputy Governor revealed that headline inflation has plummeted from a peak of 34.8% in late 2024 to 15.1% by early 2026. This sharp decline is attributed to sustained monetary tightening, the unification of the foreign exchange market, and the bank’s withdrawal from quasi-fiscal activities. The CBN’s medium-term objective is now firmly set on driving inflation into a single-digit range of 6–9%, provided the economy avoids major external disruptions.

The impact on “Institutional Credibility and Financial Stability” has been further bolstered by the ongoing bank recapitalization exercise and enhanced prudential oversight. Dr. Victor Oboh, Director of the Monetary Policy Department, noted that the success of the IT framework relies heavily on public trust and technical evidence. He stressed that the academic community plays a crucial role in building the evidence base necessary for sound policy decisions. This sentiment was echoed by Dr. Baba Musa, President of the NES, who praised the CBN’s “bold and reform-minded” trajectory, stating that the society is committed to supporting an apex bank that prioritizes credible stabilization.

Furthermore, the bank has deployed electronic trading platforms to improve price discovery in the FX market and strengthened its coordination with fiscal authorities to ensure policy coherence. These reforms are intended to insulate the Nigerian economy from short-term disruptions while building a durable institutional framework trusted by domestic and international markets.

The long-term outlook for Nigeria’s economy hinges on the CBN’s ability to maintain policy discipline as it chases the single-digit inflation target. For the academic and research community, the door is now open for deeper collaboration in refining the technical capacity of the central bank. As the 2026 fiscal year progresses, the focus remains on whether this “forward-looking” approach can permanently break the cycle of high inflation and currency volatility that has historically challenged the Nigerian economy.itgtgyuiiouiyhtgyt

Tags: CBNFX Reforminflation targetingMonetary Policy 2026Muhammad AbdullahiNigeria Inflation RateNigerian Economic Society
Sodiq Adeoyo

Sodiq Adeoyo

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